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Brisbane Tigers make their bid to be 18th team

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,277
I do, and its not perf, not now, not yet, and its sure as shit not another SEQ team so soon
Don't be silly.

No-one knows for sure - hell, the statements from the NRL itself change with the wind.

It's perfectly valid to say "I don't believe the NRL will expand to X next, because of reasons Y & Z", because that's a guess of their motives - even though the danger is that it exposes one's bias.. but to present anything as *sure* is folly.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
Don't be silly.

No-one knows for sure - hell, the statements from the NRL itself change with the wind.

It's perfectly valid to say "I don't believe the NRL will expand to X next, because of reasons Y & Z", because that's a guess of their motives - even though the danger is that it exposes one's bias.. but to present anything as *sure* is folly.
Ok, ill give you that, im not "sure"
but I'm also not bias towards getting a bid onto my doorstep, by using irrelevant quotes, and means to justify why the Arlc will vote on a 3rd brisbane team or Perth or wherever else... the comp will expand to expand the player pool.. it already makes money, going to perth will only make the perth franchise money, not the 17 other teams, everyone thinks that the arlc are looking to expand purely to draw in more mula... which ever bid gets picked will automatically make money as your selling the 9th game to the broadcaster, so how can you save money on funding that 18th team? thats what they are looking to do
 
Messages
14,822
Ok, ill give you that, im not "sure"
but I'm also not bias towards getting a bid onto my doorstep, by using irrelevant quotes, and means to justify why the Arlc will vote on a 3rd brisbane team or Perth or wherever else... the comp will expand to expand the player pool.. it already makes money, going to perth will only make the perth franchise money, not the 17 other teams, everyone thinks that the arlc are looking to expand purely to draw in more mula... which ever bid gets picked will automatically make money as your selling the 9th game to the broadcaster, so how can you save money on funding that 18th team? thats what they are looking to do

None of the quotes I've cited are "irrelevant". They were from the ARLC's Andrew Abdo, Peter V'landys and Head of Strategy Wide World of Sport (Ch9). They weren't meaningless throw away lines, either. At no stage has the ARLC said the Jets and Tigers won't be considered for the 18th licence. Abdo is on the record saying the Jets and Tigers will be considered for the 18th licence should they bid again.

"Each of (the losing bids) could have justifiably qualified to run a successful NRL team. So we are spoilt for choice," Abdo said.

"Those considerations we will look at but we have an open mind.

"We do what's right for the game, and what is right for the growth of the game overall.

"We need to consider all parts of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific when thinking about expansion.

"Again it will be data driven, rigorous and for the right reasons."


Tigers and Jets will be judged alongside bids from the rest of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific. The one that presents the best case for inclusion will get the licence.

We also have the Head of Strategy WWOS Simon Fordham saying this:

“We’re really committed to working with the NRL in growing the competition, and Queensland is a big part of that. We think there’s room for another team here in Queensland, and the Dolphins have been the perfect example."


Nick Politis also believes the 18th team should be from Queensland.

We should have two new clubs in Queensland,”

“We need to grow and we need new customers. More eyeballs on TV and more product will bring more revenue from the broadcasters and that’s what we rely on more than anything else.

“You do that by increasing the number of clubs, have an extra game and go into new areas.

“The three groups bidding to become the 17th team are all financially strong with good business structures. Why turn two of them away?

“They should be encouraged to be patient and eventually become the 18th team or we look at an area like Rockhampton.”


When V'landys spoke about adding a second team in Brisbane he pointed out that the business case needed to "stack up".

It has to stack up with a business case, what the Dolphins did is it stacked up,” he explained.

“We don’t have to pay tens of millions having that 17th team, in actual fact we generated substantial new revenue from broadcast to have that 17th team.


“So it pays for itself without harming any of the other clubs, so if we go for the 18th team, it has to be important that it actually brings benefits.


Based on that, we can assume he (and the rest of the ARLC) will want the 18th team to be sustainable from day one.

I could be wrong, but I think Redcliffe's cash reserves and assets helped get them over the line because it provides insurance that can be used to bail them out during hard times. I found a statement on this point in an article on WWOS:

The new franchise satisfied several financial requirements, including being able to produce a bank guarantee of $50 million over the course of the next five years to prove the team will be sustainable moving forward.


Of all the potential bids, the only one that has a significant amount of cash reserves and money generating assets (IE pokies) is the Brisbane Tigers.

Perth will have potential investors who might dip their hands into their pockets during rocky times. However, it cannot be overstated that history has shown this model is shaky at best. The Reds didn't have anyone from the Perth business sector willing to bail them out in 1995. It's why they signed with News Ltd. We all remember what happened with Nathan Tinkler at Newcastle.

The Gold Coast Titans were bailed out by Darryl Kelly and Rebecca Frizelle after Michael Searle ran them into debt. The club went into administration, causing Darryl Kelly to lose $5.2 million.


Kelly and Frizelle were eventually given the rights to club. Kelly pumped $7 million into the club's HQ.


This PNG/Pasifika idea is contingent on the Aus Gov throwing about $25 million at it per annum.

That's not a very good business model, is it?

Do you have any evidence that a PNG team based in Cairns will bring new players into the talent pool?

The reason Papuans have struggled to break into the NRL is due to poverty and isolation. Inadequate calorific intake and vitamin deficiency stunts the growth of Papuans. There are very few roads in PNG and no road connection between Port Moresby and the country's other major cities.

Basing a PNG team in Cairns won't help the children playing rugby league in PNG overcome the handicap of having their growth stunted. Nor will it help the PNGRFL identity talent across the country.

How does putting a PNG team in FNQ help the PNGRFL identify the best players not from Port Moresby?

How does it ensure all children playing rugby league in PNG are provided a balanced diet from conception until adulthood?
 
Last edited:

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
None of the quotes I've cited are "irrelevant". They were from the ARLC's Andrew Abdo, Peter V'landys and Head of Strategy Wide World of Sport (Ch9). They weren't meaningless throw away lines, either. At no stage has the ARLC said the Jets and Tigers won't be considered for the 18th licence. Abdo is on the record saying the Jets and Tigers will be considered for the 18th licence should they bid again.

"Each of (the losing bids) could have justifiably qualified to run a successful NRL team. So we are spoilt for choice," Abdo said.​
"Those considerations we will look at but we have an open mind.​
"We do what's right for the game, and what is right for the growth of the game overall.​
"We need to consider all parts of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific when thinking about expansion.​
"Again it will be data driven, rigorous and for the right reasons."​

Tigers and Jets will be judged alongside bids from the rest of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific. The one that presents the best case for inclusion will get the licence.

We also have the Head of Strategy WWOS Simon Fordham saying this:

“We’re really committed to working with the NRL in growing the competition, and Queensland is a big part of that. We think there’s room for another team here in Queensland, and the Dolphins have been the perfect example."​

Nick Politis also believes the 18th team should be from Queensland.

We should have two new clubs in Queensland,”​
“We need to grow and we need new customers. More eyeballs on TV and more product will bring more revenue from the broadcasters and that’s what we rely on more than anything else.​
“You do that by increasing the number of clubs, have an extra game and go into new areas.​
“The three groups bidding to become the 17th team are all financially strong with good business structures. Why turn two of them away?​
“They should be encouraged to be patient and eventually become the 18th team or we look at an area like Rockhampton.”​

When V'landys spoke about adding a second team in Brisbane he pointed out that the business case needed to "stack up".

It has to stack up with a business case, what the Dolphins did is it stacked up,” he explained.​
“We don’t have to pay tens of millions having that 17th team, in actual fact we generated substantial new revenue from broadcast to have that 17th team.
​
“So it pays for itself without harming any of the other clubs, so if we go for the 18th team, it has to be important that it actually brings benefits.​

Based on that, we can assume he (and the rest of the ARLC) will want the 18th team to be sustainable from day one.

I could be wrong, but I think Redcliffe's cash reserves and assets helped get them over the line because it provides insurance that can be used to bail them out during hard times. I found a statement on this point in an article on WWOS:

The new franchise satisfied several financial requirements, including being able to produce a bank guarantee of $50 million over the course of the next five years to prove the team will be sustainable moving forward.​

Of all the potential bids, the only one that has a significant amount of cash reserves and money generating assets (IE pokies) is the Brisbane Tigers.

Perth will have potential investors who might dip their hands into their pockets during rocky times. However, it cannot be overstated that history has shown this model is shaky at best. The Reds didn't have anyone from the Perth business sector willing to bail them out in 1995. It's why they signed with News Ltd. We all remember what happened with Nathan Tinkler at Newcastle.

The Gold Coast Titans were bailed out by Darryl Kelly and Rebecca Frizelle after Michael Searle ran them into debt. The club went into administration, causing Darryl Kelly to lose $5.2 million.


Kelly and Frizelle were eventually given the rights to club. Kelly pumped $7 million into the club's HQ.


This PNG/Pasifika idea is contingent on the Aus Gov throwing about $30-40 million at it per annum for at least 40 years.

That's not a very good business model, is it?

Do you have any evidence that a PNG team based in Cairns will bring new players into the talent pool?

The reason Papuans have struggled to break into the NRL is due to poverty and isolation. Inadequate calorific intake and vitamin deficiency stunts the growth of Papuans. There are very few roads in PNG and no road connection between Port Moresby and the country's other major cities.

Basing a PNG team in Cairns won't help the children playing rugby league in PNG overcome the handicap of having their growth stunted. Nor will it help the PNGRFL identity talent across the country.

How does putting a PNG team in FNQ help the PNGRFL identify the best players not from Port Moresby?

How does it ensure all children playing rugby league in PNG are provided a balanced diet from conception until adulthood?
All quotes mentioned are lip service to media asking which bid they would prefer... they wont say which, maybe they are waiting for the one they really want but are settling for Png/Pasifika.
I doubt you can see beyond your own bias brisbane bids, which btw are the best bids yes, but the are unfortunate that they are in SEQ, they aren't going back in a hurry no matter how many quotes are posted, its like the NSbears thinking theyll be admitted in as a Sydney or NSW based team... we all know thats not going to happen, yet people are delusional enough to believe that its a possibility, it wont be, unless they offer an area that isn't already represented..

as for the stunted growth in PNG kids, your generalising, there are plenty of papuans that are athletes, not all a rakes like you would make them out to be, starting that academy now will help provide a stable starting point, and every year more kids will pour thru those doors, and hopefully enough for a team for their own and excess will filter into other clubs who look to poach them, it happens at every club
 

mongoose

Coach
Messages
11,825
None of the quotes I've cited are "irrelevant". They were from the ARLC's Andrew Abdo, Peter V'landys and Head of Strategy Wide World of Sport (Ch9). They weren't meaningless throw away lines, either. At no stage has the ARLC said the Jets and Tigers won't be considered for the 18th licence. Abdo is on the record saying the Jets and Tigers will be considered for the 18th licence should they bid again.

"Each of (the losing bids) could have justifiably qualified to run a successful NRL team. So we are spoilt for choice," Abdo said.​
"Those considerations we will look at but we have an open mind.​
"We do what's right for the game, and what is right for the growth of the game overall.​
"We need to consider all parts of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific when thinking about expansion.​
"Again it will be data driven, rigorous and for the right reasons."​

Tigers and Jets will be judged alongside bids from the rest of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific. The one that presents the best case for inclusion will get the licence.

We also have the Head of Strategy WWOS Simon Fordham saying this:

“We’re really committed to working with the NRL in growing the competition, and Queensland is a big part of that. We think there’s room for another team here in Queensland, and the Dolphins have been the perfect example."​

Nick Politis also believes the 18th team should be from Queensland.

We should have two new clubs in Queensland,”​
“We need to grow and we need new customers. More eyeballs on TV and more product will bring more revenue from the broadcasters and that’s what we rely on more than anything else.​
“You do that by increasing the number of clubs, have an extra game and go into new areas.​
“The three groups bidding to become the 17th team are all financially strong with good business structures. Why turn two of them away?​
“They should be encouraged to be patient and eventually become the 18th team or we look at an area like Rockhampton.”​

When V'landys spoke about adding a second team in Brisbane he pointed out that the business case needed to "stack up".

It has to stack up with a business case, what the Dolphins did is it stacked up,” he explained.​
“We don’t have to pay tens of millions having that 17th team, in actual fact we generated substantial new revenue from broadcast to have that 17th team.
​
“So it pays for itself without harming any of the other clubs, so if we go for the 18th team, it has to be important that it actually brings benefits.​

Based on that, we can assume he (and the rest of the ARLC) will want the 18th team to be sustainable from day one.

I could be wrong, but I think Redcliffe's cash reserves and assets helped get them over the line because it provides insurance that can be used to bail them out during hard times. I found a statement on this point in an article on WWOS:

The new franchise satisfied several financial requirements, including being able to produce a bank guarantee of $50 million over the course of the next five years to prove the team will be sustainable moving forward.​

Of all the potential bids, the only one that has a significant amount of cash reserves and money generating assets (IE pokies) is the Brisbane Tigers.

Perth will have potential investors who might dip their hands into their pockets during rocky times. However, it cannot be overstated that history has shown this model is shaky at best. The Reds didn't have anyone from the Perth business sector willing to bail them out in 1995. It's why they signed with News Ltd. We all remember what happened with Nathan Tinkler at Newcastle.

The Gold Coast Titans were bailed out by Darryl Kelly and Rebecca Frizelle after Michael Searle ran them into debt. The club went into administration, causing Darryl Kelly to lose $5.2 million.


Kelly and Frizelle were eventually given the rights to club. Kelly pumped $7 million into the club's HQ.


This PNG/Pasifika idea is contingent on the Aus Gov throwing about $30-40 million at it per annum for at least 40 years.

That's not a very good business model, is it?

Do you have any evidence that a PNG team based in Cairns will bring new players into the talent pool?

The reason Papuans have struggled to break into the NRL is due to poverty and isolation. Inadequate calorific intake and vitamin deficiency stunts the growth of Papuans. There are very few roads in PNG and no road connection between Port Moresby and the country's other major cities.

Basing a PNG team in Cairns won't help the children playing rugby league in PNG overcome the handicap of having their growth stunted. Nor will it help the PNGRFL identity talent across the country.

How does putting a PNG team in FNQ help the PNGRFL identify the best players not from Port Moresby?

How does it ensure all children playing rugby league in PNG are provided a balanced diet from conception until adulthood?
thats great that these mediocre businessmen want to make money for TV networks... perhaps they should be thinking what's best for Rugby League though?
 

Pippen94

First Grade
Messages
7,391
None of the quotes I've cited are "irrelevant". They were from the ARLC's Andrew Abdo, Peter V'landys and Head of Strategy Wide World of Sport (Ch9). They weren't meaningless throw away lines, either. At no stage has the ARLC said the Jets and Tigers won't be considered for the 18th licence. Abdo is on the record saying the Jets and Tigers will be considered for the 18th licence should they bid again.

"Each of (the losing bids) could have justifiably qualified to run a successful NRL team. So we are spoilt for choice," Abdo said.​
"Those considerations we will look at but we have an open mind.​
"We do what's right for the game, and what is right for the growth of the game overall.​
"We need to consider all parts of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific when thinking about expansion.​
"Again it will be data driven, rigorous and for the right reasons."​

Tigers and Jets will be judged alongside bids from the rest of Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific. The one that presents the best case for inclusion will get the licence.

We also have the Head of Strategy WWOS Simon Fordham saying this:

“We’re really committed to working with the NRL in growing the competition, and Queensland is a big part of that. We think there’s room for another team here in Queensland, and the Dolphins have been the perfect example."​

Nick Politis also believes the 18th team should be from Queensland.

We should have two new clubs in Queensland,”​
“We need to grow and we need new customers. More eyeballs on TV and more product will bring more revenue from the broadcasters and that’s what we rely on more than anything else.​
“You do that by increasing the number of clubs, have an extra game and go into new areas.​
“The three groups bidding to become the 17th team are all financially strong with good business structures. Why turn two of them away?​
“They should be encouraged to be patient and eventually become the 18th team or we look at an area like Rockhampton.”​

When V'landys spoke about adding a second team in Brisbane he pointed out that the business case needed to "stack up".

It has to stack up with a business case, what the Dolphins did is it stacked up,” he explained.​
“We don’t have to pay tens of millions having that 17th team, in actual fact we generated substantial new revenue from broadcast to have that 17th team.
​
“So it pays for itself without harming any of the other clubs, so if we go for the 18th team, it has to be important that it actually brings benefits.​

Based on that, we can assume he (and the rest of the ARLC) will want the 18th team to be sustainable from day one.

I could be wrong, but I think Redcliffe's cash reserves and assets helped get them over the line because it provides insurance that can be used to bail them out during hard times. I found a statement on this point in an article on WWOS:

The new franchise satisfied several financial requirements, including being able to produce a bank guarantee of $50 million over the course of the next five years to prove the team will be sustainable moving forward.​

Of all the potential bids, the only one that has a significant amount of cash reserves and money generating assets (IE pokies) is the Brisbane Tigers.

Perth will have potential investors who might dip their hands into their pockets during rocky times. However, it cannot be overstated that history has shown this model is shaky at best. The Reds didn't have anyone from the Perth business sector willing to bail them out in 1995. It's why they signed with News Ltd. We all remember what happened with Nathan Tinkler at Newcastle.

The Gold Coast Titans were bailed out by Darryl Kelly and Rebecca Frizelle after Michael Searle ran them into debt. The club went into administration, causing Darryl Kelly to lose $5.2 million.


Kelly and Frizelle were eventually given the rights to club. Kelly pumped $7 million into the club's HQ.


This PNG/Pasifika idea is contingent on the Aus Gov throwing about $30-40 million at it per annum for at least 40 years.

That's not a very good business model, is it?

Do you have any evidence that a PNG team based in Cairns will bring new players into the talent pool?

The reason Papuans have struggled to break into the NRL is due to poverty and isolation. Inadequate calorific intake and vitamin deficiency stunts the growth of Papuans. There are very few roads in PNG and no road connection between Port Moresby and the country's other major cities.

Basing a PNG team in Cairns won't help the children playing rugby league in PNG overcome the handicap of having their growth stunted. Nor will it help the PNGRFL identity talent across the country.

How does putting a PNG team in FNQ help the PNGRFL identify the best players not from Port Moresby?

How does it ensure all children playing rugby league in PNG are provided a balanced diet from conception until adulthood?

Lots of effort in that post. Well done
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
Lots of effort in that post. Well done
What you call effort i call "potato"
I get it we all want more brisbane derbys, but they aint going back there so soon, maybe they'll go for the 19th as its a safer bet than whatever has been thrown out there, in WA, PNG, NZ2 etc

Just remember he posts passionately about brisbane3 coz of
videotogif_2022.12.24_00.50.09.gif
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,277
Ok, ill give you that, im not "sure"
but I'm also not bias towards getting a bid onto my doorstep, by using irrelevant quotes, and means to justify why the Arlc will vote on a 3rd brisbane team or Perth or wherever else...

Fair point, and yes it IS a temptation to talk up bids from one's own backyard - especially if that location doesn't currently have an NRL team.

However, setting aside that angle the proponents of Brisbane 3 and Perth here have good points - and in comparing the two, it's almost like the strength of one is the weakness of the other.

the comp will expand to expand the player pool.. it already makes money, going to perth will only make the perth franchise money, not the 17 other teams, everyone thinks that the arlc are looking to expand purely to draw in more mula... which ever bid gets picked will automatically make money as your selling the 9th game to the broadcaster, so how can you save money on funding that 18th team? thats what they are looking to do
If expansion was just about "How can we do this in the most affordable way?", then yes - Brisbane 3 would be a dead-cert.

Problem is, Greater Brisbane has only just had an NRL team added - after having to allay concerns about impact on Titans & Broncos. The NRL was able to navigate that, but I'm not sure if they have the will to run down that path so soon again.

Which would presumably leave NZ 2, Perth, PNG & the Pacific.

As much as PNG & the Pacific have that "feel good" factor, and can bring up a pathway for a junior pool, the money remains a question mark, and it's uncharted territory for the NRL as to how to make the logistics & funding work.

For me it probably comes down to NZ 2 & Perth for team 18 - and to be honest the huge population, new timezone & fact that it's a completely unrepresented market (presently) that won't risk cannibalizing an existing NRL team's supporter base just tips the equation to Perth.

That being said, I wouldn't say no to a Wellington team if the NRL go that way. ;)
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
Fair point, and yes it IS a temptation to talk up bids from one's own backyard - especially if that location doesn't currently have an NRL team.

However, setting aside that angle the proponents of Brisbane 3 and Perth here have good points - and in comparing the two, it's almost like the strength of one is the weakness of the other.


If expansion was just about "How can we do this in the most affordable way?", then yes - Brisbane 3 would be a dead-cert.

Problem is, Greater Brisbane has only just had an NRL team added - after having to allay concerns about impact on Titans & Broncos. The NRL was able to navigate that, but I'm not sure if they have the will to run down that path so soon again.

Which would presumably leave NZ 2, Perth, PNG & the Pacific.

As much as PNG & the Pacific have that "feel good" factor, and can bring up a pathway for a junior pool, the money remains a question mark, and it's uncharted territory for the NRL as to how to make the logistics & funding work.

For me it probably comes down to NZ 2 & Perth for team 18 - and to be honest the huge population, new timezone & fact that it's a completely unrepresented market (presently) that won't risk cannibalizing an existing NRL team's supporter base just tips the equation to Perth.

That being said, I wouldn't say no to a Wellington team if the NRL go that way. ;)
Png feel good factor, comes with readily available athletes who all play the game, that are far superior to anything WA has got currently, and if NZ2 had a bid in Wellington, Auckland2 or Christchurch then I'd agree that would definitely be the frontrunner, but that hasn't come to pass yet, unless the bears are seriously looking at NZ
 

ground zero

Juniors
Messages
350
Png feel good factor, comes with readily available athletes who all play the game, that are far superior to anything WA has got currently, and if NZ2 had a bid in Wellington, Auckland2 or Christchurch then I'd agree that would definitely be the frontrunner, but that hasn't come to pass yet, unless the bears are seriously looking at NZ
New Zealand Bears 9 games in North Sydney Oval 3 games New Zealand. Don't trust the wounded Bears.
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,277
Is the call for another new Queensland team based on the Dolphins being a big success (ratings and crowd)?

Success in year 1 can partially be attributed to the novelty & "newness" of an expansion team.. the real test is to see how they're tracking 3.. 5.. even 10 years from now.

I'm not gonna deny it's a solid start, and they're doing as well (on the field) as just about any expansion team bar the Storm in their debut season - and FAR better than some (sorry Cowboys fans) - but I think getting the Dolphins on the right track for success will mean team 18 isn't in Queensland.

Especially if the NRL are keen on it sooner rather than later to end the weekly bye, and bring a 9th game to the rights bargaining table.

Png feel good factor, comes with readily available athletes who all play the game, that are far superior to anything WA has got currently, and if NZ2 had a bid in Wellington, Auckland2 or Christchurch then I'd agree that would definitely be the frontrunner, but that hasn't come to pass yet, unless the bears are seriously looking at NZ
One of the concerns for me is that we haven't seen much of that raw talent converted to NRL first graders thus far.. now, you could argue that having a team based in PNG would help - giving local talent an option to stay in their country, but that opens up logistical challenges in basing the team there.

The other option (shared team between PNG & Cairns) takes the PNG players & makes them nomads between two bases, AND could end up splitting the Cowboys supporter base.. so risks there too.

Whichever way a PNG team would happen, it's a big risk for any league, let alone an NRL that's been extremely cautious over the last two decades.

Yes Vlandys is talking big, and Nick has been openly singing from the "we must go to 20 teams" songbook, but when an organization - ANY organization has been conservative for that long, it becomes part of the culture in that organization (and the community/other organizations linked to it), and that's hard to change.
 
Messages
14,822
Png feel good factor, comes with readily available athletes who all play the game, that are far superior to anything WA has got currently, and if NZ2 had a bid in Wellington, Auckland2 or Christchurch then I'd agree that would definitely be the frontrunner, but that hasn't come to pass yet, unless the bears are seriously looking at NZ
Hasn't WA produced more NRL players over the last 20 years than the PNGRFL?

@Perth Red would know how many have come through the WARL system. Ones that come to mind are Curtis Rona, the Goodwin brothers and Matt Peterson.
 
Messages
14,822
Fair point, and yes it IS a temptation to talk up bids from one's own backyard - especially if that location doesn't currently have an NRL team.

However, setting aside that angle the proponents of Brisbane 3 and Perth here have good points - and in comparing the two, it's almost like the strength of one is the weakness of the other.


If expansion was just about "How can we do this in the most affordable way?", then yes - Brisbane 3 would be a dead-cert.

Problem is, Greater Brisbane has only just had an NRL team added - after having to allay concerns about impact on Titans & Broncos. The NRL was able to navigate that, but I'm not sure if they have the will to run down that path so soon again.

Which would presumably leave NZ 2, Perth, PNG & the Pacific.

As much as PNG & the Pacific have that "feel good" factor, and can bring up a pathway for a junior pool, the money remains a question mark, and it's uncharted territory for the NRL as to how to make the logistics & funding work.

For me it probably comes down to NZ 2 & Perth for team 18 - and to be honest the huge population, new timezone & fact that it's a completely unrepresented market (presently) that won't risk cannibalizing an existing NRL team's supporter base just tips the equation to Perth.

That being said, I wouldn't say no to a Wellington team if the NRL go that way. ;)
I think the PNG/Pasifika talk by the ARLC and media is all bluff. The logistical and financial trouble it will cause is the reason it must be shut down. Super Rugby has a Fijian team getting flogged in front of tiny crowds. That's pretty much the fate of a PNG/Pasifika team. People in PNG will get sick of paying what little money they have on seeing their team get beaten by 40 points every game. If the ARLC does include PNG/Pasifika then it's inviting problems and deserves all the issues it will cause.

The Broncos, Dolphins and Titans will oppose a third Brisbane team. That's a certainty. What will get a third Brisbane team over the line -- that's if it gets over the line -- is approval from the broadcasters. The clubs and RLPA only care about the amount of money they can get from the broadcasters. If Ch9/News Ltd pay more for Brisbane 3 then the SEQ clubs will agree because it'll bring in more money for them. Well, that's how I see it based on what the clubs did to Greenberg and Smith to appease the broadcasters. Whether it plays out that way is to be seen.

NZ2 could happen. It needs a good consortium to put together a strong business case. Same goes for Perth. Both options are legitimate possibilities.

The only thing I'm willing to say with certainty is the next team will not come from PNG/Pasifika.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
I think the PNG/Pasifika talk by the ARLC and media is all bluff. The logistical and financial trouble it will cause is the reason it must be shut down. Super Rugby has a Fijian team getting flogged in front of tiny crowds. That's pretty much the fate of a PNG/Pasifika team. People in PNG will get sick of paying what little money they have on seeing their team get beaten by 40 points every game. If the ARLC does include PNG/Pasifika then it's inviting problems and deserves all the issues it will cause.

The Broncos, Dolphins and Titans will oppose a third Brisbane team. That's a certainty. What will get a third Brisbane team over the line -- that's if it gets over the line -- is approval from the broadcasters. The clubs and RLPA only care about the amount of money they can get from the broadcasters. If Ch9/News Ltd pay more for Brisbane 3 then the SEQ clubs will agree because it'll bring in more money for them. Well, that's how I see it based on what the clubs did to Greenberg and Smith to appease the broadcasters. Whether it plays out that way is to be seen.

NZ2 could happen. It needs a good consortium to put together a strong business case. Same goes for Perth. Both options are legitimate possibilities.

The only thing I'm willing to say with certainty is the next team will not come from PNG/Pasifika.
How can you be so certain, hahahahaha
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,277
I think the PNG/Pasifika talk by the ARLC and media is all bluff. The logistical and financial trouble it will cause is the reason it must be shut down. Super Rugby has a Fijian team getting flogged in front of tiny crowds. That's pretty much the fate of a PNG/Pasifika team.

The Broncos, Dolphins and Titans will oppose a third Brisbane team. That's a certainty. What will get a third Brisbane team over the line -- that's if it gets over the line -- is approval from the broadcasters. The clubs and RLPA only care about the amount of money they can get from the broadcasters.

NZ2 could happen. It needs a good consortium to put together a strong business case. Same goes for Perth. Both options are legitimate possibilities.

The only thing I'm willing to say with certainty is the next team will not come from PNG/Pasifika.
Yeah, good points made here - we can already see Super Rugby grappling with the issues inherent with Pacific expansion options, is the NRL's risk appetite up to it? REALLY up to it?

As far as Brisbane/SE-Qld goes, we now have the Dolphins as one more voice in that region that has their own interests to defend. So any team would have to bring enough money to the table to satisfy the "market impact" concerns of THEM as well as the Broncos, Titans & News Ltd. A tall order, especially when we consider News Ltd is a rights-holder for Pay TV, so I suspect it largely depends on what another team there gets from FTA TV rights (compared with other options).

If the next FTA rights bidders say that they'll pay more for a Qld team as 18 than *any other option* then that could be the decider.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,390
Yeah, good points made here - we can already see Super Rugby grappling with the issues inherent with Pacific expansion options, is the NRL's risk appetite up to it? REALLY up to it?

As far as Brisbane/SE-Qld goes, we now have the Dolphins as one more voice in that region that has their own interests to defend. So any team would have to bring enough money to the table to satisfy the "market impact" concerns of THEM as well as the Broncos, Titans & News Ltd. A tall order, especially when we consider News Ltd is a rights-holder for Pay TV, so I suspect it largely depends on what another team there gets from FTA TV rights (compared with other options).

If the next FTA rights bidders say that they'll pay more for a Qld team as 18 than *any other option* then that could be the decider.
FTA didn't even pay for the dolphins, they aren't going to pay for another team, maybe they'll pay for more content
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,277
FTA didn't even pay for the dolphins, they aren't going to pay for another team, maybe they'll pay for more content
That's a good point, and I imagine if adding a 9th game means an additional game for FTA - then relevant questions may be "What timeslot do we add to FTA, and what geographical location favors it?"

Earlier times favor a Queensland team, later times may favor WA.
 

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