in reality they either have to negotiate with the incumbents and an extension to be sure the money is there for expansion in 2028, or to take a punt that the ninth game will be worth more than the $20mill a year it will cost and announce it prior to doing the next deal (deal will probably be in 2026) .
I highly doubt theyll take a Punt so don’t expect it will be announced u til the tv deal is done mid 2026. That won’t give much time for the new club but that’s rugba league for you.
You are stating the obvious by stating they will either have to negotiate with the incumbents, because 7 already fully committed to 2031.
Why an extension with the entry of the 18th team is in the year of the start of the new deal, will have impact.
I believe the NRL based on what the industry pundits including Gyngell has indicated the worth of an additional game (and yes that could include your mob) the $20m may not be a dumb amount considering we are looking at the deal starting in 2027, 4 years hence.
Deals from what I've seen are concluded about 2 years prior to commencement. Mid 2026 is rushing it for a deal starting in 2027.
Bear in mind the current FTA deal with Nein concluded belatedly in December 2021 more than 12 months to 2023 start.
That's playing with the sporting cards that are available (not a whiney rugba league description): an 18 team comp, a ch7 now fully committed money wise to fumbling,ch10 which is on skid row.Leaving 9 and Fox sports ,and we know both are stuffed without the NRL.
Also I remind you and worth noting" on 23/5/23 the NRL has reportedly given ch9 a serve over the league's diminished presence on the network.The NRL has previously held concerns about the FTA broadcast partnership somewhat ignoring the code in nationwide broadcasts including breakfast juggernaut Today.
Now the relationship has reportedly deteriorated even further with the NRL lodging an official complaint over the lack of coverage on the breakfast show."
I do not hear or remember any of the prior administrations of the NRL : Grant/ your Smith/Greenberg/Galloper getting off their backsides to rip into Nein over something we fans have been discussing for yonks.
All I have stated is either laid out by the media, common knowledge or reasonable to expect under deals that have taken place in the two major sporting codes.