Did Jarrod Croker choke ?

[madunit]

I wouldn't turn kicking at goal into a binomial result a la tossing a coin when the revealed probabilities show that it's usually upwards of 70% of being a goal.

I doubt it's that high over the course of history. Goalkicking at 70% has only been a phenomenon of the last decade or so. A lot of goalkickers 100 years ago struggled to get to 50%.[/quote]As to possible outcomes there are several from a penalty kick. There's a score, there's miss and out on the full, there's a miss and regathered by the opposition, there's a miss and regather by your own team. And this is before we take in to account hitting the posts.[/quote]We're not referring to what happens after the goal kick here, these are irrelevant, we're referring to his chance of a successful kick. Those factors you mention have no impact on the kickers ability to kick a goal or not.

 

[Dragon]

If there are two outcomes, then, probability wise, they are both as likely as each other. Moreso when the area of success is smaller.

 

[cleary89]

I dunno if he is leveling us.

 

[sooperdooper]

Croker and Burt both Choked... the pressure got to them.

They would both land those any other time of the game..

 

[Apey]

Two outcomes, success & failure for rolling a particular number on a die, say 6.

1st outcome: Rolling a 6 on a die.
2nd outcome: Not rolling a 6 on a die.

So since there's only two relevant outcomes, does that mean the probability of each is 50%...?

 

[Raiders_Premiers]

Two outcomes, success & failure for rolling a particular number on a die, say 6.

1st outcome: Rolling a 6 on a die.
2nd outcome: Not rolling a 6 on a die.

So since there's only two relevant outcomes, does that mean the probability of each is 50%...?

Yeah but the other results you can get 1,2,3,4,5 each have their own individual probabilities don't they

You can kick the goal, or miss. What else is there?

 

[RockWheel]

Yeah but the other results you can get 1,2,3,4,5 each have their own individual probabilities don't they

You can kick the goal, or miss. What else is there?

Well there are contributing factors like angle, distance, wind etc. Otherwise goalkickers would all have an average success of 50%...

 

[Slackboy72]

This thread makes me despair at the state of education in this country.

 

[simmo1]

If there are two outcomes, then, probability wise, they are both as likely as each other.

Oh dear...

 

[Apey]

Yeah but the other results you can get 1,2,3,4,5 each have their own individual probabilities don't they

You can kick the goal, or miss. What else is there?

They have their own probabilities.

The example is based on the probability of succeeding (rolling a 6, 1/6 probability) and failing (not rolling a 6, 5/6 probability), an event that only has two possible outcomes, similar to succeeding/missing a conversion kick.

Yes there are more outcomes within those outcomes, but it doesn't really matter - they're just used to calculate the probability of the initial two outcomes.

Similar to when you miss a conversion kick, you can miss to the left, miss to the right, miss between the posts but under the bar or not even making the distance at all. Each of those have their own probabilities as well (although they aren't deterministic like rolling a die) however they're still satisfying the definition of missing the goal (not rolling a 6 on the die).

 

[Slackboy72]

Can someone send this thread to the pool room and madunit to primary school?

 

[Walt Flanigan]

The court finds this thread............gay.

 

[dontbro]

Pete Cash, I gave you a wrap on your intelligent, lucid, well-thought statements in relation to the knuckleheads who believe a sexual assault complainant should be charged with making a false report simply because her alleged assailant is found not guilty. I thought you would have done at LEAST Year 12 legal studies.


But you skipped your general maths classes. :?

 

[SET2JT]

So from what i gather every kick has a 50/50 chance of going through, which is 50%. So we change 50% to odds at the TAB. Does this mean i could get $2 for every kick even in front?

 

[Raiders_Premiers]

Can someone send this thread to the pool room and madunit to primary school?

Well come on then, if you're the genius, solve it for us...

 

[RHCP]

Am I the only that's amazed this thread has evolved into such an intense debate about mathematics?

 

[Firey_Dragon]

Am I the only that's amazed this thread has evolved into such an intense debate about mathematics?

I don't know but it has a 50% probability that it may make it to the classic threads forum.

 

[Charlie124]

Theres nothing to solve mate, the only people who seem to be having problems with this basic, primary school level maths are you and madunit.

I have an experiment for you, take all of your plates, bowls and glasses out of the cupboard and into your driveway and one by one throw them into the air. If you manage to come back inside with 50% of them unbroken (since they have just as likely chance of breaking as staying intact) we will all admit we're wrong.

Go on, ill wait.

 

[Firey_Dragon]

Theres nothing to solve mate, the only people who seem to be having problems with this basic, primary school level maths are you and madunit.

I have an experiment for you, take all of your plates, bowls and glasses out of the cupboard and into your driveway and one by one throw them into the air. If you manage to come back inside with 50% of them unbroken (since they have just as likely chance of breaking as staying intact) we will all admit we're wrong.

Go on, ill wait.

You should specify that they can't be plastic. I doubt Raiders_Premiers is allowed to use glass or ceramic kitchenware.

 

[Raiders_Premiers]

:lol: Everybody is flinging sh*t saying we're wrong yet I doubt any of you could give an explanation like Apey has

Of course when you don't know something or cannot contribute, that's usually what happens