Did you miss last month when 45k people, turned up for 4 out of town teams in perth? You dont think we’d get 30k plus at optus for our own team?
That was for a rare special event. It's like saying Brisbane 3 will sell out all 12 of its home games at Lang Park because tickets for all three days at Magic Round sold like hotcakes.
I think a Perth team can generate an average of 15k committed fans provided it is successful on the field. That's a realistic figure to aim at achieving -- it's also one that some clubs in Sydney would like to pull. There's also the possibility that the club will struggle like the Force. If that happens then crowds could drop to 10k or less.
regardless of where a club comes from they will draw from the existing pool of players and jnrs from mostly nsw and qlnd for the first ten years. That’s the reality of having a sport that’s only popular in two states.
Players from Queensland and NSW will prefer to play for clubs from Brisbane and Sydney. Regional clubs from Queensland and NSW, like the Cowboys, Titans and Knights have struggled in the player market. Gilbert signed with the Dolphins because he wanted to be back in Brisbane.
Do you think it'll be any easier for a team from Perth?
The Melbourne Storm got around it because News Ltd's used their connections to axe the Crushers and Chargers. This allowed the Storm to recruit the best juniors from SEQ. We don't know how much longer they'll be able to draw talent from this region now that the Dolphins and Titans are in the NRL.
A Perth team will have to use a similar strategy to the Storm if it wishes to be successful on the field. I cannot see the Storm and a Perth-based team successfully raiding the best talent from SEQ now that we've got the Broncos, Dolphins and Titans in the region. I suspect the Storm will fall down the ladder somewhat over the next 10 years.
Brisbane has over 110 years of rugby league history that has shaped its culture. Rugby league is to Brisbane what rugby union is to New Zealanders and soccer to the English. Kids in Queenslanders grow up wanting to run onto Lang Park to play for the Queensland Maroons. I've never met a Queenslander who dreamed of playing for a team in Adelaide or Perth in front of 12k people. The people from Adelaide and Perth just don't have the same passion and historical knowledge for the game as Queenslanders and New South Welshman who've watched the game since they were at school. I can vividly remember where I was when Queensland and the Cowboys enjoyed their highs and lows. It shaped my childhood and adulthood. Money cannot buy this level of passion and devotion.
Melbourne Storm just hosted a semifinal in front of a stadium that was almost half empty. That's because the city's heart and soul is in fumbleball. Perth is no different to Melbourne. Both cities can carve out a niche supporter base for a professional rugby league club, but they'll never mean as much to their residents as their beloved AwFuL teams.