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So IF (big giant hairy IF) that list is accurate, I'd put them in this order:
1. Wayne Bennett. Pretty damn unlikely given he's ruled it out himself, but (a) never say never and (b) he's still the best one on the list.
2. Daylight.
3. Nathan Brown & Todd Payten. Make them co-coaches, or Payten as boss with Brown as "mentor" or whatever you want to call him. Payten on his own is too risky IMO, at least Brown has NRL experience and could help with reshaping the squad while Payten focuses on coaching.
4. Shaun Wane. Good credentials but no NRL experience.
5. Jason Ryles. Same as above. Plus if he was any good then wouldn't Melbourne want to keep him around for succession planning?
I don't get the Toovey love, he's been out of the game for too long.
Really like the look of your option 3. Could work.
Regarding Toovey. The head coach's job is more about man management and motivation rather than nuts and bolts coaching. Toovey has that in spades. Plus he is a straight shooter.
A big part of the new coach's job will be to attract top-level players. We know Bennett isn't coming. Toovey can attract players. Brown maybe. Maybe Wayne can attract UK players. The club can't afford to get this wrong.