NRL Expansion: The Path To 20 Teams
As the National Rugby League’s purported plans to grow continue to gather steam, WILL EVANS charts the premiership’s expansion history, the factors impacting the addition of more teams and the leading candidates for new franchises. Stay tuned for Ministry of Sport’s upcoming series of articles focusing on each potential bid.
The dust is still settling on the introductory season of the NRL’s newest club, the Dolphins, but the identity of the competition’s impending 18th team – and potentially a 19th and 20th – remains one of rugby league’s biggest talking points.
After years of stalling in the face of a handful of compelling Queensland-based franchise bids during the 2010s, Peter V’landys’ arrival as Australian Rugby League Commission chairman put aggressive expansion back on the NRL’s agenda.
Despite the uncertainty of a post-COVID world, V’landys rubberstamped the Dolphins’ inclusion in late-2021. Further expansion has rarely been far from the news cycles since.
The NRL’s current television rights deal ends in 2027, though a new franchise could be fast-tracked to enter as early as 2026. Adding another team – and consequently an extra game each weekend – obviously provides far greater value to broadcasters and more bargaining power to the NRL.
The
Daily Telegraph reported in March that the ARLC intends to expand to 20 teams by 2032, the year (coincidentally or not) Brisbane will host the Olympic Games.
The gung-ho approach of PVL and his cohorts is infectious, but rapid expansion has burnt the game in the past.
The dilution of elite playing talent, with around 30 players of first-grade standard require to fill an NRL roster, and a loss of competitive parity – one of the NRL’s calling cards over the past 25 years – are genuine concerns.
Financial viability is no guarantee, while some of the more hotly tipped bids are located in far-flung locations that would present unprecedented logistical challenges.
The NRL’s existing clubs
have also made noises about having a say on when and where expansion occurs.
In what would quite possibly be the most unique, ambitious and controversial venture in the history of Australian sports, a
Papua New Guinea/Pasifika bid – with the team based in either Port Moresby or Cairns – is entangled with geopolitical manoeuvring.
The Australian government will reportedly tip in funds for the team’s establishment to ward off China’s growing influence in the Pacific.
Another hot expansion favourite,
Perth’s first crack in the premiership was brought undone by bad timing as much as anything. But matches taken to the Western Australian capital continue to draw healthy crowds, there’s no shortage of cashed-up investors ready to get behind a team and WA’s time zone is another attractive factor for the NRL.
V’landys and NRL CEO Andrew Abdo have publicly pushed the barrow of another team based in New Zealand – and the Warriors’ 2023 renaissance, along with rugby union’s stagnation, has only strengthened the case. A Wellington-based bid failed in the mid-2000s and remains a chance, but a
South Island bid – with a team based in Christchurch, where an inner-city covered stadium is currently being constructed – is in its formative stages and is shaping as the best chance of a second club being situated across the Tasman.
The way the Dolphins have been embraced suggests a third team in
Brisbane could very much be on the cards. Brisbane Tigers, who were behind the unsuccessful Firehawks bid, have already publicly declared their intention to vie to become the 18th franchise. The Jets also have not given up hope. A strong Rockhampton-based
Central Queensland bid faded out of the picture in recent years but could resurface.
A wildcard in the mix,
North Sydney Bears have kept a high profile in their push for reinclusion – which would have to come via teaming up with another bid (with Perth and New Zealand strongly mooted as potential partners), with the hope of playing some home games at North Sydney Oval to sate their purported 220,000-strong fanbase.
We’ll run the rule over each of prospective NRL entrants’ credentials over the next few months.
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